2023 Emmys Predictions: Outstanding Lead Actor in a Limited Series or a Movie

We will update this article throughout the season, along with all our predictions, so make sure to keep checking IndieWire for the latest news from the 2023 Emmys race. The nomination round of voting takes place from June 15 to June 26, with the official Emmy nominations announced Wednesday, July 12. The Creative Arts Emmy Awards will be presented over two consecutive nights on Saturday, September 9 and Sunday, September 10, with an edited presentation of the ceremonies to be broadcast on FXX at a later date. Finally, the 75th Annual Primetime Emmy Awards take place on Monday, September 18, and air live on FOX at 8:00 p.m. ET/ 5:00 p.m. PT.

See our previous thoughts on what to expect at the 75th Primetime Emmy Awards here.

The State of the Race

Ultimately, as controversial as the show has been, “Monster: ​​The Jeffrey Dahmer Story” star Evan Peters has far and away been the frontrunner for Outstanding Lead Actor in a Limited Series or a Movie. He seems like a safe bet to win because Ryan Murphy’s Netflix series was massively popular, and awarding Peters, who received an Emmy for his supporting role in “Mare of Easttown,” could be seen more as an endorsement of his committed performance more than the show altogether.

Also, most of the contenders in this category are shows that went through the winter awards season as well, so Peters already beat “Black Bird” star Egerton at the Golden Globes this year. However, both weirdly lost to “1883” star Sam Elliott at the Screen Actors Guild Awards (the actor was not even nominated for an Emmy when he was eligible last season), and neither was nominated for a Critics Choice Award this year, with “Weird: The Al Yankovic Story” star Daniel Radcliffe instead winning that award over a bunch of Emmy contenders from last year. That certainly bodes well for the TV movie star’s chances at a nod.

“Beef” star Steven Yeun is the only newcomer that really seems like a lock in this category, with his Netflix show making waves in April. Though Steve Carell received some awards nods for his performance in FX on Hulu’s “The Patient,” there has not been a lot of campaigning for that show, so it seems more likely that the work the teams behind “Fleishman Is in Trouble” and “George and Tammy” will elevate respective stars Jesse Eisenberg and Michael Shannon past him when it comes time for voters to make their final decisions on nominations.

Predicted Nominees:
Taron Egerton, “Black Bird” (Apple TV+)
Jesse Eisenberg, “Fleishman Is in Trouble” (FX)
Evan Peters, “Monster: ​​The Jeffrey Dahmer Story” (Netflix)
Daniel Radcliffe, “Weird: The Al Yankovic Story” (Roku Channel)
Michael Shannon, “George and Tammy” (Showtime)
Steven Yeun, “Beef” (Netflix)

Contenders:
Steve Carell, “The Patient” (FX)
Sam Claflin, “Daisy Jones and the Six” (Prime Video)
Woody Harrelson, “White House Plumbers” (HBO)

In a Perfect World:
Joel Kim Booster, “Fire Island” (Hulu)
Joe Cole, “A Small Light” (National Geographic)
Ben Whishaw, “This is Going to Hurt” (AMC+)

More Limited Series and TV Movie Category Predictions:
Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
Outstanding TV Movie
Outstanding Lead Actress in a Limited Series or a Movie
Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or a Movie
Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Limited Series or a Movie

To see IndieWire’s full set of predictions for the 75th Emmy Awards click here.

Last Year’s Winner: Michael Keaton, “Dopesick”
Still Eligible: No.
Hot Streak: If Nanjiani were to win (and we’re not counting FX-produced shows), Hulu would be the first network in 13 years to win this category two years in a row.
Notable Ineligible Series: Jon Hamm, “Fargo” (Season 5 was not eligible); Bryan Tyree Henry, “Class of ’09” (the season will not air in time to be eligible); Jesse Garcia, “Flamin’ Hot” (the film will not premiere in time to be eligible)

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By: Marcus Jones
Title: 2023 Emmys Predictions: Outstanding Lead Actor in a Limited Series or a Movie
Sourced From: www.indiewire.com/feature/2023-emmys-lead-actor-limited-series-movie-predictions-1234822671/
Published Date: Sun, 25 Jun 2023 19:00:00 +0000